System detail

Dawn Long-Shot (All Rounds)

COMBOGAP_UNDERDOG

B365 WTA GS

2016+TOP CANDIDATE

Deploy: MONITOR

ROI

+36.2%

51-46 W-L

Win %

52.6%

Prof yrs

8/10

THRESHOLDS+ classification

Required ROI

32.0%

Actual ROI

+36.2%

Gap

—

Score

2.7900

No exclusion flags

V48 TABLE 2 — p-value fail

Annual chart — load annual data from data/backtest_results/*_annual.csv

9 bets

Picks for Dawn Long-Shot (All Rounds)
Date	Tournament	Match	Bet	B365	CLV	P&L	Status
Tue, Sep 1, 2026	US Open R128	Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko	↓ Kimberly Birrell	2.00	+26.9pp	—	pending
Mon, Aug 31, 2026	US Open R128	Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko	↓ Kimberly Birrell	2.00	+26.2pp	—	pending
Mon, Aug 31, 2026	US Open R128	Harriet Dart vs Peyton Stearns	↑ Harriet Dart	3.20	+17.0pp	—	pending
Mon, Aug 31, 2026	US Open R128	Sara Bejlek vs Cristina Bucsa	↓ Sara Bejlek	4.00	+34.4pp	—	pending
Mon, Aug 31, 2026	US Open R128	Daria Snigur vs Diana Shnaider	↑ Daria Snigur	3.20	+3.8pp	—	pending
Wed, Aug 26, 2026	US Open R128	Despina Papamichail vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	↑ Despina Papamichail	4.00	+5.5pp	-1.00u	loss
Wed, Aug 26, 2026	US Open R128	Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Alexandra Shubladze	↑ Anastasiya Sobolieva	4.50	+32.7pp	-1.00u	loss
Wed, Aug 26, 2026	US Open R128	Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovic	↓ Elvina Kalieva	9.00	+5.4pp	-1.00u	loss
Tue, Aug 25, 2026	US Open R128	Whitney Osuigwe vs Mona Barthel	↑ Whitney Osuigwe	2.38	+4.0pp	-1.00u	loss