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Table 1 ACTIVE only — one card per match. Refreshed daily via KV sync after GS logging.
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6 ACTIVE systems
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Table 1
Active system
Dawn Long-Shot
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+42.0%
N
79
Bets/yr
~7.9
Strategy & criteria
Criteria
B365 WTA GS · Passes threshold (42.0% >= 37.5%)
Performance
Record
43W – 36L
Win rate
54.4%
Score
2.86
Data since
2016
Outsiders' Ebb
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+48.5%
N
61
Bets/yr
~6.1
Strategy & criteria
Criteria
B365 WTA GS · Passes threshold (48.5% >= 37.5%)
Performance
Record
48W – 13L
Win rate
78.7%
Score
2.83
Data since
2016
Dawn Long-Shot (All Rounds)
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+36.2%
N
97
Bets/yr
~9.7
Strategy & criteria
Criteria
B365 WTA GS · Passes threshold (36.2% >= 32.0%)
Performance
Record
51W – 46L
Win rate
52.6%
Score
2.79
Data since
2016
The Outsiders' Tide
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+31.6%
N
107
Bets/yr
~10.7
Strategy & criteria
Why it works
Sharp closing-line value clusters on unknown and mid-tier players. The market reliably misprices Grand Slam matchups when neither side is a top-40 name — these are the matches books care least about, where sharp money moves prices furthest.
Strategy
Ride the outsider lane: only act when the line moved sharply against the book AND neither player is a recognized top-40 name. High CLV in low-profile matchups signals genuine market inefficiency.
Screening criteria
- WTA Grand Slam matches — 2016 onward
- Closing-line value gap ≥ 3.5 percentage points vs Pinnacle no-vig line
- Both players ranked outside the top 40, or unranked
Performance
Record
75W – 32L
Win rate
70.1%
Score
2.58
Data since
2016
Opening-Day Outsiders
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+32.4%
N
97
Bets/yr
~9.7
Strategy & criteria
Why it works
An early-round lens on the same outsider inefficiency. First- and second-round Grand Slam matches see the widest opening lines and fewest sharp eyes — the CLV signal is strongest here, before public money and form clarity arrive.
Strategy
Apply the no-top-40 CLV filter specifically to early rounds, where mispricing is most concentrated. Retained as a standalone analytics split alongside the broader outsider system.
Screening criteria
- WTA Grand Slam matches — 2016 onward
- Early rounds only: R128 (Round of 128) or R64 (Round of 64)
- Closing-line value gap ≥ 3.5 percentage points vs Pinnacle no-vig line
- Both players ranked outside the top 40, or unranked
Performance
Record
68W – 29L
Win rate
70.1%
Score
2.50
Data since
2016
Early Return Advantage
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+27.7%
N
120
Bets/yr
~12
Strategy & criteria
Criteria
B365 WTA GS · Passes threshold (27.7% >= 26.0%)
Performance
Record
92W – 28L
Win rate
76.7%
Score
2.42
Data since
2016
Watchlist
Monitoring
Early-Round Whisper
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+15.7%
N
344
Bets/yr
~34.5
Strategy & criteria
Why it works
Early-round Grand Slam markets are systematically inefficient — books set wide opening lines before form, travel fatigue, and court conditions are priced in. A meaningful CLV gap in this window captures the market's correction after sharp money arrives.
Strategy
Cast a wider net with a 3pp CLV threshold to capture higher volume in early rounds. Monitors whether a slightly relaxed threshold maintains edge over the longer run.
Screening criteria
- WTA Grand Slam matches — 2016 onward
- Early rounds only: R128 or R64
- Closing-line value gap ≥ 3.0 percentage points vs Pinnacle no-vig line
- No ranking restriction — any player combination qualifies
Performance
Record
241W – 103L
Win rate
70.1%
Score
2.58
Data since
2016
Whisper +Avg50
B365 WTA GS + Avg confirm
ROI
+15.9%
N
327
Bets/yr
~32.8
Strategy & criteria
Criteria
B365 WTA GS + Avg confirm · Top candidate (15.9% vs 16.5% base, 0 exceptions)
Performance
Record
232W – 95L
Win rate
71.0%
Score
2.54
Data since
2016
First-Serve Drift
B365 WTA GS
ROI
+19.9%
N
214
Bets/yr
~21.4
Strategy & criteria
Why it works
Books open Grand Slam early-round markets with limited information. The highest CLV gaps emerge before public sentiment and match volume clarify expected outcomes — capturing this window with a tighter threshold targets the sharpest signals.
Strategy
Focus on early-round matches where books are least accurate at opening. A 3.5pp CLV threshold filters to only the clearest mispricing signals, regardless of player ranking.
Screening criteria
- WTA Grand Slam matches — 2016 onward
- Early rounds only: R128 or R64
- Closing-line value gap ≥ 3.5 percentage points vs Pinnacle no-vig line
- No ranking restriction — any player combination qualifies
Performance
Record
149W – 65L
Win rate
69.6%
Score
2.47
Data since
2016